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FC TWENTE vs BENFICA
DATE:16/08/2011 20:45
Bookie: 188BET
AH: 0:0    PICK: HOME@2.03    STAKE: 8
Click here to get a Free £25 Bet
CL - Football - Europe - CL - Champions League

Interesting market move in the last hour - Twente were initially favoured but some money have come for Benfica, making them marginal favourites now. Therein lies value.

I don't see much difference between the two sides but admittedly, Benfica have better individuals. I can agree the Portuguese side are favourites to win the tie but certainly NOT the opening away leg.

Twente have been an improving side in Netherlands over the past 5 seasons. They have consistently finished in the top 4, winning the Eredivisie title in 2009/10. This is an impressive stat considering they were declared bankrupt in 2002. They may not boast big name players but are very solid as a team. This season, you can expect more unity from Twente after disciplinarian Co Adriaanse took over from ex-Benfica great Michel Preud'homme. Adriaanse also had a spell in Portugal, steering Porto to a domestic double in 2005/06.

Twente had a good outing in last season's Champions League, finishing 3rd behind Tottenham and Inter but ahead of Werder Bremen. They were subsequently knocked out in the 1/4 finals of the Europa League after overcoming the likes of Russian mights Rubin Kazan & Zenit St Petersburg in prior rounds. Their home record in Europe remains strong, 3/5/1 in their last 9. Certainly not an easy team to beat.

Of course, Benfica are a bigger club and boast bigger players - the likes of Aimar (doubtful today), Cardozo, Saviola, Luisao, J Garcia etc. However, they have lost bigger players over the last 3 seasons. Di Maria & Coentrao have gone to Real Madrid and D Luiz & Ramires to Chelsea.

More importantly, Portuguese clubs just don't travel well in Europe. In the Champions League, Benfica are 2/3/8 in their last 13 on the road and 3/3/4 on their last 10 travels in the lesser UEFA Cup/Europa League competitions. Away to Dutch sides, they are just 1/6/2. That win was way back in 1968/69, during their glory years!

Lastly, I will stick to my betting mentality for 2-leg ties that, between two fairly even sides, the away team can accept a single-goal defeat as long as they get the away goal. Therefore, backing Twente at DNB is value imo, especially at big prices.

My price: Twente -0. 25 $2. 05

Prediction: 2-0/2-1

chat football and/or betting on twitter (pickpilpil)

16/08/2011 16:36, read 2477 times
Tipster Pilpil has recommended this bet from 188BET where you can find the best odds for this pick. Click here to open up an account and take the same bet from FCbet Recommended Bookie 188BET.
PILPIL - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - Statistics
League Pick W D L Stake Profit FCyield
Champions League 52 28 3 21 406 35.94 9.38
Score: 2-2 Result: DRAW Profit: 0.00
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Tipster Pilpil is from Australia and will cover English, Italian and Spanish Football.

"But you cannot deny the history that in China there is a recollection and evidence they played the game a thousand years ago," said FIFA president Sepp Blatter. FIFA says its historians have proof that the game - then called cuju or "kickball" - originated in China some 2,000 years ago. It was even played for emperors. On 15 July 2004, FIFA officially concluded football originated in Linzi, Zibo of Shandong Province.

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