- Football - Spain - La Liga
This is the type of relegation derby that I love the most for overs. We have two teams who don’t defend particularly well, but against opponents of their same calibre attack well enough to justify a low line like 2, 25. Leganés are not particularly overish at home or overall, but I think it’s a match-up problem. Against significantly better teams (mid-table + Europa League) they play unders because they go for the draw and concede a few, top teams batter them and they don’t score, but this is a true relegation six-pointer here and the head to head can be decisive. Gijón won 2-1 at home, Leganés will go for the win, and Gijón will go for scoring and closing the gap which is curtently 5 points. If somehow Leganés manages to win this, there will be 8 points and seems to much to cover. Gijón will be extremely motivated to attack. At each score at least one of the teams will be highly motivated to score so I like the overs here even if stat-wise Leganés seems more like an underish team.
Over2, 5 above evens
|11/02/2017 23:11, read 427 times