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MONTERREY vs AMERICA
DATE:27/12/2019 03:30
STYLE: To Score    PICK: BOTH@1.80    STAKE: 7
D1 - Football - Mexico - Liga MX

First leg match of the Liga MX's Final, between Monterrey and America. The final is played 18 days after the semifinals due to Monterrey taking part in FIFA Club World Cup. The venue for this first leg is BBVA Stadium. This will be the first final between them.

Monterrey
Monterrey eliminated Necaxa in the semifinals, in a second leg match that has been the antithesis to his recent performance, as it was the first time that only one goal was scored, and it was on aggregated time when Necaxa was storming Monterrey, before that in the previous 12 games at least 2 goals have been scored, a performance that hold true in FIFA Club World Cup.

In FIFA Club World Cup, Monterrey deliver a great performance, despite once again not reaching the final, they held Liverpool to 1-1 until the final minutes of the match, having important scoring chances, yet it was Liverpool the one that scored to proceed to the final. Therefore Monterrey played the match for the third place against Al-Hilal, in an interesting match where both teams hold the lead but ended in a draw, and in penalties it was Monterrey which prevail.

It is yet to see how Monterrey will perform after the long trip to Dubai and back, their performance in Dubai was a good one, yet with the flight counter-clockwise in the way back to Mexico, it is yet to see if the players have had time to recover from jet lag. Some players return two days before, after the match against Liverpool, therefore they have had time to recover, but the disturbance to the sleep cycle is something to take into consideration.

The main aspect for Monterrey is their scoring, they have 17 consecutive matches scoring, and coach Antonio Mohamed has the fortunate problem to have to choose between Rogelio Funes Mori or Vincent Janseen as the main striker.

His dynamic and offensive playmaking style will not change for this match as he knows taking advantage for the second leg in Azteca Stadium is key. Beyond that, this is the third final for Monterrey with Mohamed, they have lost the previous two, perhaps the third time will be the charm.


America
America in the quarter-finals and semifinals won both series after losing the first leg, yet in the second leg the team has been able to obtained the needed goals to turn things around and proceed to the final. Only has been unable to score in one of the last five matches.

During the break, America remain in Mexico and played a friendly against Ascenso Mx side Leones Negros, which they won by 5-1, with goals from Henry Martín, Sebastián Córdoba, Paul Aguilar and two from Federico Viñas.

The environment in the team could not be better, their open training at Azteca Stadium was a party, a lot of fans in the stands and this provide an animistic boost for the team. Together that the time provide a chance for America to recover injured players as Renato Ibarra, Andres Ibarguen and Giovani Dos Santos.

In the previous eight first leg match in finals that America has played in neither of them they have won, yet they have ended as the Champion in five of them. The best result they have obtained in first leg match has been three draws, twice they won the title, and once they did not. Only in three games America has been able to score at least a goal, failing to do so in five of them.

America will look to break that tendency and I consider that it might be hard to take the victory, but at least they might be able to score at least one, they have the players to do it.


Match
An attractive match is expected at BBVA Stadium, a sell-out, and with both teams having their best players ready, a continuous flow of scoring chances is expected. It might be very different from the regular season match, as many changes in both teams from that encounter, in Monterrey a different coach, Basanta is back from a long term injury. For America, change in the goalkeeper and defence, Marceshin went to Porto, Ochoa arrive in his position, Uribe went also to Porto and Viñas and Richard Sanchez arrive to the team, yet that will not change the dynamic display of both teams.

Prediction
Monterrey is unbeaten against America in BBVA Stadium, six matches sin 2015, four victories for Monterrey and two draws. Therefore the home side has a slight edge, yet due to the long journey to and back from Dubai I consider it will be a level affair, more than the odds point towards, and there to take America with Asian handicap might be the best option, yet the value I see it in the both teams to score, both posses heavy artillery to score more than once, therefore BTTS is the best option here.

26/12/2019 23:55, read 394 times
Tipster Xcout has recommended this bet from WILLIAM HILL.
You can take the same bet from WILLIAM HILL.
XCOUT - LIGA MX - Statistics
League Pick W D L Stake Profit FCyield
Liga MX 275 118 21 136 2091 -147.62 -7.66
Score: 2-1 Result: WON Profit: 5.60
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XCOUT - Tipster Info
Tipster Xcout is from Mexico and will cover Mexican and US Football.

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contact me , opinions of picks also welcome.
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